Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 44.85%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 26.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Racing de Santander in this match.

Result
Racing de Santander	Draw	Amorebieta
44.85% ( 0.47)	29.07% ( -0.06)	26.08% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 41.61% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.67% (

-0)

64.33% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.58%

83.41%

Racing de Santander Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.25% (

0.25)

28.75% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.42% (

0.31)

64.58% (

-0.31)

Amorebieta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.39% (

-0.36)

41.6% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.91% (

-0.32)

78.09% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Racing de Santander 44.85%

Amorebieta 26.07%

Draw 29.06%

Racing de Santander	Draw	Amorebieta
1-0 @ 14.91% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.5% Total : 44.85%	1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.95% 2-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.06%	0-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.19% Total : 26.07%