Serie A | Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
We said: Inter Milan 2-1 Bologna
Inter and Bologna have not drawn in Serie A since September 2017 - with the Nerazzurri winning six of the clubs' last nine meetings - and that trend should continue on Wednesday night. For all their flaws, the home side have been reliable on San Siro soil for many months now, so can take all their in-form visitors have to throw at them.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 78.8% . A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 7.52% .
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.77%) and 1-0 (9.08%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.47%) , while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (2.42%) . The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result Inter Milan Draw Bologna 78.8% ( -0.21) 13.67% ( 0.15) 7.52% ( 0.07)
Both teams to score 47.41% ( -0.26)
65.64% ( -0.5) 34.35% ( 0.5)
43.73% ( -0.57) 56.27% ( 0.57)
93.06% ( -0.15) 6.94% ( 0.15)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 74.55% ( -0.4) 25.45% ( 0.4)
50.94% ( -0.2) 49.06% ( 0.2)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 16% ( -0.14) 84% ( 0.14)
Inter Milan 78.79%
Bologna 7.52%
Draw 13.67%
Inter Milan Draw Bologna 2-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.2% Total : 78.79% 1-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 13.67% 0-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 7.52%
How you voted: Inter Milan vs Bologna
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