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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Sampdoria logo

Inter Milan
3 - 0
Sampdoria

de Vrij (21'), Barella (44'), Correa (73')
Bastoni (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Yepes (19'), Colley (40'), Duricic (52'), Verre (57'), Gabbiadini (61'), Amione (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Plzen
Wednesday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Sampdoria

Inter are drawless in their last 20 league games - their longest such run since the 1940s - while Samp have scored the fewest Serie A goals this season. Not surprisingly, then, a home win appears to be on the cards, with Lukaku's return occurring just in time to match a Martinez hot-streak. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 77.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 7.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.77%) and 1-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSampdoria
77.79% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02) 14.35% (0.012 0.01) 7.87% (0.014 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.44% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.53% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)36.47% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)58.61% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)7.61% (0.008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.78% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)27.22% (0.02 0.02)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.27% (0.022000000000006 0.02)49.73% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.53% (0.016999999999999 0.02)84.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 77.77%
    Sampdoria 7.87%
    Draw 14.35%
Inter MilanDrawSampdoria
2-0 @ 12.55%
3-0 @ 10.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.75% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.53%
4-0 @ 6.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 3.57% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.5% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1.53% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
6-1 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 77.77%
1-1 @ 6.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.79% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-2 @ 3.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 14.35%
0-1 @ 2.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 2.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 7.87%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Sampdoria

Inter Milan
94.7%
Draw
2.6%
Sampdoria
2.6%
114
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 5pm
Inter Milan
3-0
Sampdoria
Perisic (49'), Correa (55', 57')
Barella (30')

Yoshida (5'), Ferrari (66')
Sep 12, 2021 11.30am
Sampdoria
2-2
Inter Milan
Yoshida (32'), Augello (47')
Thorsby (35'), Bereszynski (67'), Colley (82'), Silva (88')
Dimarco (18'), Martinez (44')
Brozovic (22'), Dzeko (89'), Correa (90'), Vidal (90+3')
May 8, 2021 5pm
Inter Milan
5-1
Sampdoria
Gagliardini (4'), Sanchez (26', 36'), Pinamonti (61'), Martinez (70' pen.)
Balde (35')
Tonelli (31'), Silva (68')
Jan 6, 2021 2pm
Sampdoria
2-1
Inter Milan
Candreva (23' pen.), Balde (38')
Thorsby (57'), Balde (84'), Askildsen (85')
De Vrij (65')
Martinez (16'), Barella (23'), de Vrij (40'), Hakimi (90+1')
Jun 21, 2020 8.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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