Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 6

Sep 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Allianz Stadium

Juventus
2 - 2
Salernitana

Bremer (51'), Bonucci (90+3')
Paredes (27'), Kean (32'), Bremer (45+4'), Milik (83')
Milik (90+6'), Allegri (90+8'), Cuadrado (90+9')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Candreva (18'), Piatek (45+5' pen.)
Maggiore (38'), Fazio (53'), Piatek (55'), Sepe (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

Last Six:

Last Game: PSG 2-1 Juventus
Tuesday, September 6 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Torino	6	0	10
8	Juventus	5	5	9
9	Lazio	5	2	8

Salernitana

Last Six:

Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Empoli
Monday, September 5 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Lazio	5	2	8
10	Salernitana	5	3	6
11	Fiorentina	5	0	6

We said: Juventus 2-0 Salernitana

Remarkably, given their former supremacy at the Allianz Stadium, the last time Juventus managed successive home wins in Serie A was back in March - with Salernitana being their second victims on that occasion. The hosts will achieve that minor feat again on Sunday, but it is unlikely to be pretty. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 69.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 11.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Salernitana
69.31% ( 0.06)	19.19% ( -0.04)	11.49% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 44.16% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.51% (

0.14)

47.49% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.3% (

0.13)

69.7% (

-0.13)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.43% (

0.06)

12.57% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.36% (

0.11)

38.64% (

-0.11)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.51% (

0.06)

49.49% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.7% (

0.04)

84.3% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Juventus 69.3%

Salernitana 11.49%

Draw 19.19%

Juventus	Draw	Salernitana
2-0 @ 13.37% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 12.9% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 69.3%	1-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.59% Total : 19.19%	0-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.19% 0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 11.49%