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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Spezia Calcio logo

Juventus
2 - 0
Spezia

Vlahovic (9'), Milik (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bastoni (11'), Holm (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Roma
Saturday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Sassuolo
Saturday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 1-0 Spezia

Though their squad feels particularly thin due to injuries, Juventus can continue their supremacy in this match-up of Serie A royalty with provincial hopefuls. It may not be pretty to watch, but the hosts have enough individual quality to decide the game in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 69.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 11.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Juventus in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Juventus.

Result
JuventusDrawSpezia
69.99% (-0.244 -0.24) 18.22% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 11.78% (0.146 0.15)
Both teams to score 48.26% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.5% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)42.5% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.1% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)64.9% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.04% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)10.96% (0.071 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.81% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)35.18% (0.159 0.16)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.2% (0.231 0.23)45.8% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.43% (0.181 0.18)81.56% (-0.18400000000001 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 69.98%
    Spezia 11.78%
    Draw 18.22%
JuventusDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 12.26% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-0 @ 11.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.04% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 7.06% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.015 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.21% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 69.98%
1-1 @ 8.67% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 18.22%
0-1 @ 3.92% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.38% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.53% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 0.97% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 11.78%

How you voted: Juventus vs Spezia

Juventus
89.1%
Draw
9.2%
Spezia
1.7%
119
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 5pm
Juventus
1-0
Spezia
Morata (21')
Vlahovic (57'), Pellegrini (61'), Bernardeschi (68')

Erlic (54'), Motta (59'), Bourabia (90+4')
Sep 22, 2021 5.30pm
Spezia
2-3
Juventus
Gyasi (33'), Antiste (49')
Nikolaou (85'), N'Zola (90+4')
Kean (28'), Chiesa (66'), De Ligt (72')
Morata (90+2')
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
Juventus
3-0
Spezia
Morata (62'), Chiesa (71'), Ronaldo (89')
Frabotta (10'), Demiral (90')
Nov 1, 2020 2pm
Spezia
1-4
Juventus
Pobega (32')
Chabot (49'), Bartolomei (75'), Estevez (87')
Morata (14'), Ronaldo (59', 76'), Rabiot (67')
Rabiot (69')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Juventus633090912
2AC Milan6321147711
3Torino6321108211
4Inter Milan6321137611
5Udinese6312910-110
6Napoli531194510
7Empoli624052310
8Lazio63121210210
9Roma62317439
10Como6222911-28
11Atalanta BCAtalanta62131112-17
12Bologna614179-27
13Fiorentina61417707
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona62041011-16
15Parma512289-15
16Lecce6123311-85
17Genoa6123410-65
18VeneziaVenezia6114410-64
19Monza503246-23
20CagliariCagliari502318-72


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