MX23RW : Monday, March 10 09:21:27| >> :60:2703:2703:
PSG logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 6, 2022 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Juventus logo

PSG
2 - 1
Juventus

Mbappe (5', 22')
Ramos (25'), Verratti (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)
McKennie (53')
Bremer (25'), Miretti (45+1'), Danilo (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-0 Juventus

We expect PSG to have too much quality for Juventus, who are missing several key players with injuries. The Parisians look capable of going far in this season's Champions League, whereas the visitors may struggle to go beyond the last-16 stage once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 14.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.12%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.21%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawJuventus
59.29% (0.145 0.15) 26.52% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 14.19% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 33.02% (-0.225 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.98% (-0.139 -0.14)67.02% (0.13799999999999 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.72% (-0.093 -0.09)85.28% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.82%23.18% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.93% (0.0010000000000048 0)57.07% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.99% (-0.294 -0.29)57.01% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.95% (-0.165 -0.17)89.05% (0.164 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 59.28%
    Juventus 14.2%
    Draw 26.5%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 19.31% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 14.12% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.94% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.88% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.52% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.09% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 59.28%
0-0 @ 13.21% (0.07 0.07)
1-1 @ 10.85% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 2.23% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 7.43% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.05% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.09% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 14.2%

How you voted: PSG vs Juventus

Paris Saint-Germain
75.1%
Draw
11.0%
Juventus
13.9%
498
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2017 1.30am
PSG
2-3
Juventus
Guedes (53'), Pastore (80')
Verratti (29'), Alves (60')
Higuain (45'), Marchisio (62', 89')
Bentancur (23')
rhs 2.0
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