Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 24

Feb 28, 2021 at 5pm UK

Stadio San Paolo

Napoli
2 - 0
Benevento

Mertens (34'), Politano (66')
Koulibaly (58'), Di Lorenzo (61')
Koulibaly (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Barba (80'), Hetemaj (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Benevento, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Benevento had a probability of 17.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Benevento win it was 1-2 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Benevento
61.33%	20.72%	17.94%

Both teams to score 55.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.2%

40.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.81%

63.18%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.17%

12.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.83%

39.17%

Benevento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.76%

36.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.98%

73.01%

Score Analysis

Napoli 61.33%

Benevento 17.94%

Draw 20.72%

Napoli	Draw	Benevento
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 9.54% 3-1 @ 6.81% 3-0 @ 6.71% 4-1 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 3.46% 4-0 @ 3.45% 4-2 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.44% 5-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.49% Total : 61.33%	1-1 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 5.05% 0-0 @ 4.65% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.72%	1-2 @ 4.92% 0-1 @ 4.72% 0-2 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.71% 1-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.54% Total : 17.94%