Europa League

Europa League | Round of 32

Feb 18, 2021 at 8pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes

Granada
2 - 0
Napoli

Herrera (19'), Kenedy (21')
Foulquier (38'), Silva (77'), Diaz (86'), Brice Eteki (90+2'), Montoro (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Elmas (26'), Di Lorenzo (27'), Insigne (79'), Zielinski (83'), Rui (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Granada and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Granada had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.83%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Granada win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Granada	Draw	Napoli
36.87%	23.58%	39.56%

Both teams to score 63.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.18%

38.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.87%

61.13%

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.76%

21.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.85%

54.16%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.05%

19.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.88%

52.12%

Score Analysis

Granada 36.87%

Napoli 39.56%

Draw 23.58%

Granada	Draw	Napoli
2-1 @ 8.2% 1-0 @ 6.57% 2-0 @ 5.09% 3-1 @ 4.23% 3-2 @ 3.41% 3-0 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.77% Total : 36.87%	1-1 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 6.61% 0-0 @ 4.24% 3-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.58%	1-2 @ 8.53% 0-1 @ 6.83% 0-2 @ 5.51% 1-3 @ 4.58% 2-3 @ 3.55% 0-3 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 1.85% 2-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.13% Total : 39.56%