Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crotone | Draw | Benevento |
31.44% | 25.45% | 43.11% |
Both teams to score 54.89% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.19% | 48.8% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.09% | 70.91% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.89% | 29.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.96% | 65.04% |
Benevento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.44% | 22.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.84% | 56.16% |
Score Analysis |
Crotone | Draw | Benevento |
1-0 @ 8.11% 2-1 @ 7.45% 2-0 @ 5% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.44% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.57% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 9.78% 1-2 @ 8.98% 0-2 @ 7.28% 1-3 @ 4.46% 0-3 @ 3.61% 2-3 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.21% Total : 43.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |