Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 20

Jan 31, 2021 at 5pm UK

Stadio San Paolo

Napoli
2 - 0
Parma

Elmas (32'), Politano (82')
Demme (71'), Elmas (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gagliolo (5'), Pezzella (31'), Conti (71'), Brugman (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 76.2%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Parma had a probability of 9.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.52%), while for a Parma win it was 1-2 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Parma
76.2%	14.34%	9.46%

Both teams to score 54.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.67%

30.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.41%

51.6%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.43%

6.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.55%

24.46%

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.28%

41.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.81%

78.19%

Score Analysis

Napoli 76.19%

Parma 9.46%

Draw 14.34%

Napoli	Draw	Parma
2-0 @ 10.16% 3-0 @ 9.23% 2-1 @ 8.88% 3-1 @ 8.07% 1-0 @ 7.46% 4-0 @ 6.28% 4-1 @ 5.49% 3-2 @ 3.53% 5-0 @ 3.42% 5-1 @ 2.99% 4-2 @ 2.4% 6-0 @ 1.55% 6-1 @ 1.36% 5-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 4.07% Total : 76.19%	1-1 @ 6.52% 2-2 @ 3.88% 0-0 @ 2.74% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.17% Total : 14.34%	1-2 @ 2.85% 0-1 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.13% 0-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.04% Total : 9.46%