Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 59.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 18.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Parma win it was 1-0 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.