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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Juventus logo

Spezia
2 - 3
Juventus

Gyasi (33'), Antiste (49')
Nikolaou (85'), N'Zola (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kean (28'), Chiesa (66'), de Ligt (72')
Morata (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 17.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawJuventus
17.12%21.04%61.84%
Both teams to score 52.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.37%43.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.98%66.02%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.12%38.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.39%75.61%
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.43%13.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.33%40.67%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 17.12%
    Juventus 61.83%
    Draw 21.04%
SpeziaDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 4.98%
2-1 @ 4.7%
2-0 @ 2.35%
3-1 @ 1.48%
3-2 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 17.12%
1-1 @ 9.95%
0-0 @ 5.27%
2-2 @ 4.7%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.04%
0-1 @ 10.53%
0-2 @ 10.52%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-3 @ 7.01%
1-3 @ 6.62%
0-4 @ 3.5%
1-4 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 3.13%
2-4 @ 1.56%
0-5 @ 1.4%
1-5 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3%
Total : 61.83%

How you voted: Spezia vs Juventus

Spezia
14.8%
Draw
9.5%
Juventus
75.7%
210
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Juventus
3-0
Spezia
Morata (62'), Chiesa (71'), Ronaldo (89')
Frabotta (10'), Demiral (90')
Nov 1, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 6
Spezia
1-4
Juventus
Pobega (32')
Chabot (49'), Bartolomei (75'), Estevez (87')
Morata (14'), Ronaldo (59', 76'), Rabiot (67')
Rabiot (69')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Fiorentina1384127101728
4Napoli128221991026
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino134361619-315
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15CagliariCagliari132561424-1011
16Genoa132561124-1311
17Como132471325-1210
18Monza131661116-59
19Lecce12237521-169
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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