Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Spezia |
44.71% | 25.1% | 30.2% |
Both teams to score 55.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.22% | 47.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.03% | 69.97% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.61% | 21.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.62% | 54.38% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.56% | 29.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.56% | 65.44% |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Spezia |
1-0 @ 9.71% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 7.49% 3-1 @ 4.71% 3-0 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.5% Total : 44.71% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.3% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.7% 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 4.71% 1-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.46% Total : 30.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |