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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Roma logo

Spezia
2 - 2
Roma

Verde (6'), Pobega (38')
FT(HT: 2-0)
El Shaarawy (52'), Mkhitaryan (85')
Kumbulla (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.67%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawRoma
34.88%23.18%41.94%
Both teams to score 64.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.86%37.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.66%59.34%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51%21.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46%54.54%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8%18.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.79%49.22%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 34.88%
    Roma 41.94%
    Draw 23.17%
SpeziaDrawRoma
2-1 @ 7.88%
1-0 @ 6.02%
2-0 @ 4.62%
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 3.44%
3-0 @ 2.37%
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-2 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.88%
1-1 @ 10.24%
2-2 @ 6.71%
0-0 @ 3.91%
3-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.17%
1-2 @ 8.73%
0-1 @ 6.67%
0-2 @ 5.68%
1-3 @ 4.96%
2-3 @ 3.81%
0-3 @ 3.22%
1-4 @ 2.11%
2-4 @ 1.62%
0-4 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 41.94%

How you voted: Spezia vs Roma

Spezia
18.5%
Draw
7.4%
Roma
74.1%
54
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 19
Roma
4-3
Spezia
Mayoral (17', 52'), Karsdorp (55'), Pellegrini (90+2')
Peres (87'), Mayoral (87'), Pellegrini (90+3')
Piccoli (24'), Farias (59'), Verde (90')
Chabot (21')
Jan 19, 2021 8.15pm
Rounds of 16
Roma
2-4
Spezia
Pellegrini (43' pen.), Mkhitaryan (73')
Mancini (51'), Pellegrini (111')
Mancini (92'), Lopez (92')
Galabinov (6' pen.), Saponara (15', 119'), Verde (107')
Agudelo (13'), Ismajli (24'), Dell'Orco (90+1')
Dec 16, 2015 1.30pm
Round Five
Roma
0-0
Spezia
Spezia win 4-2 on penalties
Ucan (19'), Vainqueur (40'), Rudiger (91')
Terzi (34'), Nene (35')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli6411114713
2Juventus633090912
3AC Milan6321147711
4Torino6321108211
5Inter Milan6321137611
6Udinese6312910-110
7Empoli624052310
8Lazio63121210210
9Roma62317439
10Como6222911-28
11Atalanta BCAtalanta62131112-17
12Bologna614179-27
13Fiorentina61417707
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona62041011-16
15Parma512289-15
16Lecce6123311-85
17Genoa6123410-65
18VeneziaVenezia6114410-64
19Monza603348-43
20CagliariCagliari502318-72


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