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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Roma logo

Spezia
2 - 2
Roma

Verde (6'), Pobega (38')
FT(HT: 2-0)
El Shaarawy (52'), Mkhitaryan (85')
Kumbulla (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.67%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawRoma
34.88%23.18%41.94%
Both teams to score 64.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.86%37.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.66%59.34%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51%21.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46%54.54%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8%18.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.79%49.22%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 34.88%
    Roma 41.94%
    Draw 23.17%
SpeziaDrawRoma
2-1 @ 7.88%
1-0 @ 6.02%
2-0 @ 4.62%
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 3.44%
3-0 @ 2.37%
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-2 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.88%
1-1 @ 10.24%
2-2 @ 6.71%
0-0 @ 3.91%
3-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.17%
1-2 @ 8.73%
0-1 @ 6.67%
0-2 @ 5.68%
1-3 @ 4.96%
2-3 @ 3.81%
0-3 @ 3.22%
1-4 @ 2.11%
2-4 @ 1.62%
0-4 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 41.94%

How you voted: Spezia vs Roma

Spezia
18.5%
Draw
7.4%
Roma
74.1%
54
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 19
Roma
4-3
Spezia
Mayoral (17', 52'), Karsdorp (55'), Pellegrini (90+2')
Peres (87'), Mayoral (87'), Pellegrini (90+3')
Piccoli (24'), Farias (59'), Verde (90')
Chabot (21')
Jan 19, 2021 8.15pm
Rounds of 16
Roma
2-4
Spezia
Pellegrini (43' pen.), Mkhitaryan (73')
Mancini (51'), Pellegrini (111')
Mancini (92'), Lopez (92')
Galabinov (6' pen.), Saponara (15', 119'), Verde (107')
Agudelo (13'), Ismajli (24'), Dell'Orco (90+1')
Dec 16, 2015 1.30pm
Round Five
Roma
0-0
Spezia
Spezia win 4-2 on penalties
Ucan (19'), Vainqueur (40'), Rudiger (91')
Terzi (34'), Nene (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli25175341192256
2Inter Milan24166258233554
3Atalanta BCAtalanta25156454262851
4Lazio25144747341346
5Juventus241013141212043
6Fiorentina24126641251642
7AC Milan24118536241241
8Bologna24101133829941
9Roma249783529634
10Udinese2486102937-830
11Torino2561092731-428
12Genoa246992233-1127
13CagliariCagliari2567122639-1325
14Lecce2466121841-2324
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2572162654-2823
16Como2457122840-1222
17Empoli2449112235-1321
18Parma2448123044-1420
19VeneziaVenezia2437142239-1716
20Monza2427152139-1813


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