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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Roma logo

Spezia
2 - 2
Roma

Verde (6'), Pobega (38')
FT(HT: 2-0)
El Shaarawy (52'), Mkhitaryan (85')
Kumbulla (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.67%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawRoma
34.88%23.18%41.94%
Both teams to score 64.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.86%37.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.66%59.34%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51%21.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46%54.54%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8%18.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.79%49.22%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 34.88%
    Roma 41.94%
    Draw 23.17%
SpeziaDrawRoma
2-1 @ 7.88%
1-0 @ 6.02%
2-0 @ 4.62%
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 3.44%
3-0 @ 2.37%
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-2 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.88%
1-1 @ 10.24%
2-2 @ 6.71%
0-0 @ 3.91%
3-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.17%
1-2 @ 8.73%
0-1 @ 6.67%
0-2 @ 5.68%
1-3 @ 4.96%
2-3 @ 3.81%
0-3 @ 3.22%
1-4 @ 2.11%
2-4 @ 1.62%
0-4 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 41.94%

How you voted: Spezia vs Roma

Spezia
18.5%
Draw
7.4%
Roma
74.1%
54
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 19
Roma
4-3
Spezia
Mayoral (17', 52'), Karsdorp (55'), Pellegrini (90+2')
Peres (87'), Mayoral (87'), Pellegrini (90+3')
Piccoli (24'), Farias (59'), Verde (90')
Chabot (21')
Jan 19, 2021 8.15pm
Rounds of 16
Roma
2-4
Spezia
Pellegrini (43' pen.), Mkhitaryan (73')
Mancini (51'), Pellegrini (111')
Mancini (92'), Lopez (92')
Galabinov (6' pen.), Saponara (15', 119'), Verde (107')
Agudelo (13'), Ismajli (24'), Dell'Orco (90+1')
Dec 16, 2015 1.30pm
Round Five
Roma
0-0
Spezia
Spezia win 4-2 on penalties
Ucan (19'), Vainqueur (40'), Rudiger (91')
Terzi (34'), Nene (35')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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