Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.46%) and 0-1 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Udinese win it was 2-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.