Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 53.56%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.31%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
