Serie A | Gameweek 1
Sep 30, 2020 at 5pm UK
Dacia Arena
Udinese0 - 2Spezia Calcio
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia Calcio win with a probability of 40%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia Calcio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia Calcio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | Spezia |
| 32.16% | 27.85% | 40% |
| Both teams to score 47.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.9% | 58.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.23% | 78.77% |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.65% | 33.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.03% | 69.97% |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.6% | 28.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.85% | 64.16% |
| Score Analysis |
Udinese 32.16%
Spezia 39.99%
Draw 27.84%
| Udinese | Draw | Spezia |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 7.19% 2-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.16% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.47% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.84% | 0-1 @ 11.92% 1-2 @ 8.24% 0-2 @ 7.5% 1-3 @ 3.46% 0-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.75% Total : 39.99% |
