Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia Calcio win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia Calcio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia Calcio would win this match.
