Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.