Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 51.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 24.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Crotone win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.