Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 55.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 20.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monza in this match.