Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 54.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Lecco had a probability of 20.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Lecco win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.