Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-0 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
