Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.31%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Pordenone Calcio win was 1-0 (12.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
