Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vicenza win with a probability of 53.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vicenza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vicenza would win this match.
