Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
