Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
