We said: Sivasspor 1-1 Gaziantep
Sivasspor boast a strong historical record in this fixture, but their home form this season has been a major worry, and this could prove to be their undoing on Sunday.
Gaziantep, by contrast, have put in some decent performances on their travels recently, and they appear capable of snatching a point come the final whistle.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 62.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 16.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.