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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 16
Jan 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Mersin Stadyumu

Hatayspor
0 - 0
Gaziantep


Faruk Beyaz (51'), Kilama (63'), Dadasov (75')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Gaziantep, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 2-0 Hatayspor
Saturday, January 6 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 2-2 Pendikspor
Friday, January 5 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Hatayspor 1-1 Gaziantep

While the last five meetings between Hatayspor and Gaziantep have produced a combined 18 goals, we anticipate a cagey affair at the Mersin Stadium on Wednesday. Despite their recent struggles, Hatayspor have lost just two home games since January 2023 and we predict that they will hold out for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
HataysporDrawGaziantep
48.84% (0.736 0.74) 24.89% (-0.058 -0.06) 26.27% (-0.676 -0.68)
Both teams to score 53.35% (-0.395 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.73% (-0.247 -0.25)49.27% (0.248 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.68% (-0.223 -0.22)71.32% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.8% (0.21000000000001 0.21)20.2% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.49% (0.333 0.33)52.51% (-0.331 -0.33)
Gaziantep Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.86% (-0.67099999999999 -0.67)33.14% (0.671 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.26% (-0.747 -0.75)69.74% (0.74799999999999 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 48.84%
    Gaziantep 26.27%
    Draw 24.88%
HataysporDrawGaziantep
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.56% (0.196 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.04% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.57% (0.133 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 48.84%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.69% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.39% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 4.08% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 26.27%

How you voted: Hatayspor vs Gaziantep

Hatayspor
44.4%
Draw
16.7%
Gaziantep
38.9%
18
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 22
Gaziantep
4-1
Hatayspor
Jevtovic (38'), Markovic (56', 77'), Merkel (88')
El Kaabi (27')
Aug 20, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 3
Hatayspor
1-2
Gaziantep
El Kaabi (31')
Vranjes (58'), Corekci (59')
Figueiredo (7'), Jevtovic (49')
Maxim (34'), Markovic (51'), Jevtovic (82')
Mar 7, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 28
Gaziantep
2-2
Hatayspor
Maxim (5', 79')
Soyalp (15')
Caulker (20' og.), El Kaabi (30')
Ergun (40'), Adekugbe (73')
Oct 18, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 9
Hatayspor
2-1
Gaziantep
Biram Diouf (52' pen.), Kamara (73')
Biram Diouf (39'), Ribeiro (57')
Sagal (82')
Demir (39'), Caulker (51'), Erdogan (67'), Maxim (67'), Ozer (90+6')
May 15, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 42
Hatayspor
0-1
Gaziantep

Abdioglu (45+1')
Jefferson (73')
Kozulj (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray11101032112131
2Fenerbahce118212791826
3Samsunspor1281324131125
4EyupsporEyupspor126421811722
5BesiktasBesiktas116321910921
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK115331913618
7SivassporSivasspor125251720-317
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul114431714316
9KasimpasaKasimpasa123541619-314
10KonyasporKonyaspor124261420-614
11AntalyasporAntalyaspor124261524-914
12Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor114161019-913
13TrabzonsporTrabzonspor112631214-212
14GaziantepGaziantep113351518-312
15KayserisporKayserispor112631116-512
16Bodrumspor123271016-611
17AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
18Hatayspor111371018-86
19Adana Demirspor11029925-162


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