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European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Jun 28, 2023 at 5pm UK
Ramaz Shengelias Sakhelobis Stadioni

Israel U21s
1 - 0
Czech Rep. U21s

Gandelman (82')
Revivo (68'), Luzon (83'), Gluh (90+2'), Khalaili (90+4'), Karzev (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Jaros (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Israel Under-21s and Czech Republic Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: England U21s 2-0 Israel U21s
Sunday, June 25 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
All competitions
Last Game: Czech Rep. U21s 2-1 Germany U21s
Sunday, June 25 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

We said: Israel Under-21s 0-1 Czech Republic Under-21s

Israel could have had few complaints from their loss to England in the wake of a rather passive performance, which would certainly not cut the mustard against a Czech Republic side who admirably kept Germany at bay for the most part on Sunday. With the Little Lions on cloud nine and showcasing more attacking intent than Luzon's men at the Under-21 Euros so far, the Czech Republic could punch their ticket to the knockout rounds with another slender win, thereby prolonging Israel's wait for a quarter-final appearance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel Under-21s win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Czech Republic Under-21s had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Czech Republic Under-21s win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Israel Under-21s in this match.

Result
Israel Under-21sDrawCzech Republic Under-21s
44.77% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 25.7% (-0.058 -0.06) 29.52% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.11% (0.183 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.32% (0.23699999999999 0.24)50.68% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.41% (0.206 0.21)72.59% (-0.21000000000001 -0.21)
Israel Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.41% (0.12100000000001 0.12)22.58% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.81% (0.18 0.18)56.19% (-0.185 -0.18)
Czech Republic Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.6% (0.126 0.13)31.39% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.23% (0.147 0.15)67.77% (-0.151 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Israel Under-21s 44.76%
    Czech Republic Under-21s 29.52%
    Draw 25.7%
Israel Under-21sDrawCzech Republic Under-21s
1-0 @ 10.54% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.85% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.51% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.89% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 44.76%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.09% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.08% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 29.52%

How you voted: Israel U21s vs Czech Rep. U21s

Israel Under-21s
23.3%
Draw
25.6%
Czech Republic Under-21s
51.2%
43
rhs 2.0
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