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European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Jun 25, 2023 at 5pm UK
Chele Arena

Czech Rep. U21s
2 - 1
Germany U21s

Sejk (33'), Vitik (87')
Cerv (51'), Jurasek (77'), Jaros (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Stiller (70')
Krauss (38'), Keitel (42'), Alidou (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Czech Republic Under-21s and Germany Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Czech Republic Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Czech Rep. U21s 0-2 England U21s
Thursday, June 22 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

Germany Under-21s

All competitions
European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Germany U21s 1-1 Israel U21s
Thursday, June 22 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

We said: Czech Republic Under-21s 1-2 Germany Under-21s

 The 2023 Euros already has the makings of a truly unpredictable tournament, and we would not put it past the Czech Republic to make one of their attacking plays count against the German backline, in spite of their recent difficulties when it comes to finishing chances. Germany can empathise in that regard, but the champions would have easily come away with a convincing success against Israel on another day, and we expect Di Salvo's men to right the wrongs of midweek to belatedly kickstart their title defence and inflict another early exit on the Little Lions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Under-21s win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Czech Republic Under-21s had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Czech Republic Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Czech Republic Under-21sDrawGermany Under-21s
32.58% (0.064999999999998 0.06) 23.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 44.17% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Both teams to score 63.14% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.78% (0.047000000000004 0.05)38.22% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.5% (0.048999999999999 0.05)60.5% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Czech Republic Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.74% (0.058999999999997 0.06)23.26% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.82% (0.086000000000006 0.09)57.18% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Germany Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)17.72% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)48.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Czech Republic Under-21s 32.58%
    Germany Under-21s 44.17%
    Draw 23.25%
Czech Republic Under-21sDrawGermany Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.59% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.38% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.69% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.19% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.13% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.58%
1-1 @ 10.4%
2-2 @ 6.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.12% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.25%
1-2 @ 9% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.17% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.25% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.54% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 44.17%

How you voted: Czech Rep. U21s vs Germany U21s

Czech Republic Under-21s
14.3%
Draw
17.1%
Germany Under-21s
68.6%
35
Head to Head
Jun 18, 2017 5pm
Group Stage
Germany U21s
2-0
Czech Rep. U21s
Meyer (44'), Gnabry (50')

Travnik (82'), Jankto (88')
> Match Report
Jun 23, 2015 7.45pm
Group Stage
Czech Rep. U21s
1-1
Germany U21s
Krejci (66')
Frydek (32')
Schulz (55')
Younes (22'), Korb (65'), Kimmich (87'), Can (94')
> Match Report
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