European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Jun 24, 2023 at 5pm UK
Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni
Form, Standings, Stats
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We said: Portugal Under-21s 1-1 Netherlands Under-21s
With the volume of chances they created on the day, Portugal's failure to make the net bulge against Georgia was surely an anomaly, and Jorge is blessed with options for change in the final third in a bid to get his side back on track.
Rectifying those midweek mistakes against a side as defensively sound as the Netherlands will be no easy task, though, and with a little more ruthlessness in the final third, the Dutch can also break their goalscoring duck to glean another point, albeit one which will not do either manager the world of good.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands Under-21s win with a probability of 46.56% . A win for Portugal Under-21s had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.9% .
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.9%) . The likeliest Portugal Under-21s win was 1-0 (7.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result Portugal Under-21s Draw Netherlands Under-21s 28.51% ( 0.03) 24.94% ( 0.01) 46.56% ( -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.95%
52.02% ( -0.01) 47.98% ( 0.01)
29.85% ( -0.01) 70.15% ( 0.01)
69.25% ( 0.02) 30.75% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 32.99% ( 0.02) 67.01% ( -0.01)
Netherlands Under-21s Goals
79.35% ( -0.02) 20.65% ( 0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 46.77% ( -0.02) 53.23% ( 0.03)
Portugal Under-21s 28.51%
Netherlands Under-21s 46.55%
Draw 24.93%
Portugal Under-21s Draw Netherlands Under-21s 1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 3% Total : 28.51% 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.93% 0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.9% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.9% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.64% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 46.55%
How you voted: Portugal U21s vs Netherlands U21s
Portugal Under-21s
Draw
Netherlands Under-21s
Netherlands Under-21s
33.3%
36
rhs 2.0
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