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European Under-21s Championship | Final
Jun 6, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadion Stožice
Portugal national football team

Germany U21s
1 - 0
Portugal U21s

Nmecha (49')
Wirtz (12'), Nmecha (43'), Raum (90'), Ozcan (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Braganca (58'), Jota (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's European Under-21 Championship final between Germany Under-21s and Portugal Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Germany Under-21s had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Germany Under-21s win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Germany Under-21sDrawPortugal Under-21s
32.05%25.13%42.81%
Both teams to score 56.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.81%47.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.57%69.42%
Germany Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08%27.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.47%63.53%
Portugal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98%22.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.67%55.33%
Score Analysis
    Germany Under-21s 32.05%
    Portugal Under-21s 42.81%
    Draw 25.12%
Germany Under-21sDrawPortugal Under-21s
1-0 @ 7.84%
2-1 @ 7.57%
2-0 @ 5%
3-1 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.44%
3-0 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 32.05%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 6.14%
2-2 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 9.3%
1-2 @ 8.98%
0-2 @ 7.04%
1-3 @ 4.53%
0-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 2.89%
1-4 @ 1.72%
0-4 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 42.81%

How you voted: Germany U21s vs Portugal U21s

Germany Under-21s
34.4%
Draw
17.7%
Portugal Under-21s
47.9%
96
Head to Head
Jun 27, 2015 5pm
Semi-Finals
Portugal U21s
5-0
Germany U21s
Silva (25'), Ricardo (33'), Cavaleiro (45'), Mario (46'), Horta (71')
Esgaio (17')

Kimmich (23'), Bittencourt (63')
Bittencourt (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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