Luhansk

2 - 1

Metalist Kharkiv

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 15.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.