Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Aug 6, 2021 at 10pm UK
Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Cerro Largo0 - 1Penarol
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Penarol.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Penarol |
| 29.2% | 27.01% | 43.79% |
| Both teams to score 48.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.03% | 55.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.93% | 77.07% |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.6% | 34.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.89% | 71.11% |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.62% | 25.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.82% | 60.18% |
| Score Analysis |
Cerro Largo 29.2%
Penarol 43.79%
Draw 27.01%
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Penarol |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% 2-1 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 1.77% 3-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.24% Total : 29.2% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.73% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 11.97% 1-2 @ 8.76% 0-2 @ 8.21% 1-3 @ 4% 0-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.79% |
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2021 1.30am
First Round
Penarol
4-1
Cerro Largo
Apr 7, 2021 1.30am
First Round
Cerro Largo
2-2
Penarol
Baez (38'), Nunez (45+4'), Brasil (59'), Ezequiel Machado Ferrando (79')
Feb 17, 2021 10.30pm
Aug 28, 2020 12.15am
Dec 5, 2019 11.30pm
Penarol
2-1
Cerro Largo
Dorrego (53')
Acosta (30'), Heredia (60'), Assis (78')
Acosta (30'), Heredia (60'), Assis (78')
Form Guide
