![Penarol Penarol](https://sm.imgix.net/23/29/penlog_1.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 23, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Penarol0 - 1Nacional
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Penarol | Draw | Nacional |
55.75% | 23.23% | 21.04% |
Both teams to score 52.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.64% | 47.36% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.42% | 69.58% |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.18% | 16.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.2% | 46.81% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.22% | 36.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.43% | 73.58% |
Score Analysis |
Penarol 55.75%
Nacional 21.04%
Draw 23.22%
Penarol | Draw | Nacional |
1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 9.83% 2-0 @ 9.83% 3-0 @ 5.84% 3-1 @ 5.84% 3-2 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-0 @ 2.6% 4-2 @ 1.3% 5-0 @ 0.93% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.09% Total : 55.75% | 1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.22% | 0-1 @ 6.19% 1-2 @ 5.52% 0-2 @ 3.09% 1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.73% Total : 21.04% |
How you voted: Penarol vs Nacional
Penarol
75.0%Draw
8.3%Nacional
16.7%24
Head to Head
Jul 16, 2021 1.30am
Jul 4, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 9
Nacional
2-0
Penarol
Dec 13, 2020 8.30pm
Gameweek 7
Penarol
3-2
Nacional
Formiliano (28'), Terans (37'), Nahuelpan (88')
Herrera (38'), Kagelmacher (57'), Bravo (68'), Torres (82'), Urreta (90')
Herrera (38'), Kagelmacher (57'), Bravo (68'), Torres (82'), Urreta (90')
Aug 9, 2020 7pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-25 06:44:32
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Q | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
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