Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 16, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
![Penarol Penarol](https://sm.imgix.net/23/29/penlog_1.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Nacional1 - 2Penarol
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 26.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Penarol win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Penarol |
48.35% | 25.32% | 26.34% |
Both teams to score 52.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.02% | 50.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.15% | 72.84% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.9% | 21.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.07% | 53.93% |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66% | 34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.32% | 70.68% |
Score Analysis |
Nacional 48.34%
Penarol 26.34%
Draw 25.32%
Nacional | Draw | Penarol |
1-0 @ 11.16% 2-1 @ 9.37% 2-0 @ 8.68% 3-1 @ 4.86% 3-0 @ 4.5% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.49% Total : 48.34% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 7.17% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 7.74% 1-2 @ 6.5% 0-2 @ 4.18% 1-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.27% Total : 26.34% |
How you voted: Nacional vs Penarol
Nacional
64.3%Draw
21.4%Penarol
14.3%42
Head to Head
Jul 4, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 9
Nacional
2-0
Penarol
Dec 13, 2020 8.30pm
Gameweek 7
Penarol
3-2
Nacional
Formiliano (28'), Terans (37'), Nahuelpan (88')
Herrera (38'), Kagelmacher (57'), Bravo (68'), Torres (82'), Urreta (90')
Herrera (38'), Kagelmacher (57'), Bravo (68'), Torres (82'), Urreta (90')
Aug 9, 2020 7pm
Dec 15, 2019 8pm
Championship Semi-Final
Nacional
1-0
Penarol
Busquets (4'), Rojas (31'), Rodriguez (42'), Estoyanoff (45'), Lores (47'), Formiliano (95')
Lores (85'), Dawson (89')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-25 06:39:23
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Q | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
1
![Netherlands vs. Austria - prediction, team news, lineups Netherlands vs. Austria - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Netherlands vs. Austria - prediction, team news, lineups
2
![Croatia vs. Italy - prediction, team news, lineups Croatia vs. Italy - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Croatia vs. Italy - prediction, team news, lineups
3
![Tuesday's Copa America predictions including Chile vs. Argentina Tuesday's Copa America predictions including Chile vs. Argentina](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Tuesday's Copa America predictions including Chile vs. Argentina
4
![PL return? Fulham 'eyeing' ex-Arsenal man PL return? Fulham 'eyeing' ex-Arsenal man](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
PL return? Fulham 'eyeing' ex-Arsenal man
5
![Albania vs. Spain - prediction, team news, lineups Albania vs. Spain - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Albania vs. Spain - prediction, team news, lineups
6
![Euro 2024 projected last 16 ties - who is on course to reach the knockouts? Euro 2024 projected last 16 ties - who is on course to reach the knockouts?](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Euro 2024 projected last 16 ties - who is on course to reach the knockouts?
7
![Man United 'expected' to rival Chelsea for South American wonderkid Man United 'expected' to rival Chelsea for South American wonderkid](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Man United 'expected' to rival Chelsea for South American wonderkid
8
![Euro 2024 today: Who is playing? How to watch? What to look out for? Euro 2024 today: Who is playing? How to watch? What to look out for?](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Euro 2024 today: Who is playing? How to watch? What to look out for?
9
![Slovakia vs. Romania - prediction, team news, lineups Slovakia vs. Romania - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Slovakia vs. Romania - prediction, team news, lineups
10
![Liverpool target 'open' to PSG switch Liverpool target 'open' to PSG switch](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Liverpool target 'open' to PSG switch
![As featured on NewsNow: Sport news As featured on NewsNow: Sport news](https://sm.imgix.net/12/40/newsnow_f_ab.gif?w=160&h=50)
Sport News 24/7