Defensor1 - 3Torque
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 28.86% | 25.91% | 45.22% |
| Both teams to score 52.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.15% | 51.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.39% | 73.61% |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% | 32.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.99% | 69.02% |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% | 22.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.39% | 56.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 1-0 @ 8.35% 2-1 @ 6.93% 2-0 @ 4.7% 3-1 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 1.92% 3-0 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.86% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 10.96% 1-2 @ 9.09% 0-2 @ 8.09% 1-3 @ 4.47% 0-3 @ 3.98% 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.47% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.08% Total : 45.22% |
Goni (84')
Castellanos (20'), Fiermarin (37'), Sena (87')
