Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Aug 9, 2020 at 7pm UK
Estadio Centenario
Nacional1 - 1Penarol
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Penarol.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Penarol win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Penarol |
| 43.94% | 27.25% | 28.81% |
| Both teams to score 48.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.99% | 57.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.09% | 77.91% |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.23% | 25.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.28% | 60.72% |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.75% | 35.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.99% | 72.01% |
| Score Analysis |
Nacional 43.93%
Penarol 28.81%
Draw 27.25%
| Nacional | Draw | Penarol |
| 1-0 @ 12.31% 2-1 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-0 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.19% Total : 43.93% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 9.09% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 9.47% 1-2 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 4.94% 1-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.08% Total : 28.81% |
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2019 8pm
Championship Semi-Final
Nacional
1-0
Penarol
Busquets (4'), Rojas (31'), Rodriguez (42'), Estoyanoff (45'), Lores (47'), Formiliano (95')
Lores (85'), Dawson (89')
Dec 11, 2019 11.30pm
Clausura Final
Penarol
0-2
Nacional
Sep 1, 2019 7pm
Nacional
3-0
Penarol
Rojas (34'), Viatri (64')
Form Guide
