Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Aug 9, 2020 at 7pm UK
Estadio Centenario
Nacional1 - 1Penarol
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Penarol.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Penarol win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Penarol |
| 43.94% | 27.25% | 28.81% |
| Both teams to score 48.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
