Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plaza Colonia would win this match.