River Plate
1 - 1
Penarol

Galletto (16')
Herrera (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ceppelini (67' pen.)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.8%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a River Plate win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Penarol
21.36%	23.46%	55.18%

Both teams to score 52.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.05%

47.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.88%

70.12%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.21%

36.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.42%

73.58%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.77%

17.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.47%

47.53%

Score Analysis

River Plate 21.36%

Penarol 55.18%

Draw 23.45%

River Plate	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 6.34% 2-1 @ 5.57% 2-0 @ 3.17% 3-1 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.63% 3-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.73% Total : 21.36%	1-1 @ 11.14% 0-0 @ 6.34% 2-2 @ 4.9% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.45%	0-1 @ 11.14% 0-2 @ 9.8% 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-3 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 5.75% 2-3 @ 2.87% 0-4 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 2.53% 2-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.76% Total : 55.18%