Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.