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Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 30, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Jean-Bouin

PSG
1 - 2
Lyon

Katoto (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hegerberg (14'), Renard (83')
Bacha (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain Women and Lyon Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: PSG 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, April 30 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: Barcelona 1-3 Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 6pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Paris Saint-Germain Women 2-2 Lyon Women

The three competitive meetings between the French giants have yielded 15 goals, and we expect Saturday's second leg to be another entertaining encounter, but we think the European pedigree of Lyon will help them hold their hosts to a draw, which would secure their place in the Champions League final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain Women win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Lyon Women had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.12%) and 1-0 (5.03%). The likeliest Lyon Women win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain WomenDrawLyon Women
41.63%21.84%36.53%
Both teams to score 69.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.01%29.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.82%51.18%
Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.6%15.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.8%44.2%
Lyon Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.53%17.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.06%47.94%
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain Women 41.63%
    Lyon Women 36.53%
    Draw 21.84%
Paris Saint-Germain WomenDrawLyon Women
2-1 @ 8.21%
3-1 @ 5.12%
1-0 @ 5.03%
2-0 @ 4.71%
3-2 @ 4.47%
3-0 @ 2.94%
4-1 @ 2.4%
4-2 @ 2.09%
4-0 @ 1.37%
4-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 41.63%
1-1 @ 8.78%
2-2 @ 7.17%
0-0 @ 2.69%
3-3 @ 2.6%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.84%
1-2 @ 7.66%
0-1 @ 4.69%
1-3 @ 4.46%
2-3 @ 4.17%
0-2 @ 4.09%
0-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.94%
2-4 @ 1.82%
3-4 @ 1.13%
0-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 36.53%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 4pm
Lyon
3-2
PSG
Renard (23' pen.), Macario (33', 50')
Katoto (6'), Dudek (58' pen.)
Geyoro (13'), Baltimore (35'), Karchaoui (63')
Apr 18, 2021 1pm
Lyon
1-2
PSG
Macario (4'), Grace Geyoro (25'), Renard (61' og.)
Morroni (66'), Henry (73'), Bacha (90')
Mar 24, 2021
5pm
rhs 2.0
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