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Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 30, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Jean-Bouin

PSG
1 - 2
Lyon

Katoto (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hegerberg (14'), Renard (83')
Bacha (48')

Preview: Paris Saint-Germain Women vs. Lyon Women - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain Women and Lyon Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

If Paris Saint-Germain Women are to reach the Women's Champions League final, they will need to overturn a 3-2 deficit in the second leg of their semi-final tie against Lyon Women.

The visitors currently hold the advantage as the seven-time European champions look to reach another final.


Match preview

PSG Women celebrate scoring on March 9, 2021© Reuters

Despite taking the lead in the sixth minute in the first leg, PSG came up short at the Parc Olympique Lyonnais, leaving Saturday's host trailing by a goal ahead of the return leg in Paris.

As a result of the first leg defeat, PSG have lost two of their three competitive meetings with Lyon this season, although the Paris side did win the only home contest between the two teams this term.

The reigning French champions are dreaming of reaching the Champions League final for the third time in their history, with the 2015 and 2017 runners-up aiming to win their first European trophy.

Didier Olle-Nicolle's side will be looking to continue their fine home form, as PSG have lost just one of their 15 home matches inside 90 minutes.

Saturday's hosts have conceded just three goals across those 15 home games, while they have scored three goals or more in 10 of their home contests this season.

Lyon Women's coach Sonia Bompastor on March 23, 2022© Reuters

Lyon are the most successful team in Women's Champions League history after lifting the trophy on seven previous occasions.

They still harbour hopes of clinching a double this season, with Sonia Bompastor's charges currently five points clear of PSG in the Division 1 Feminine table.

The visitors enter Saturday's contest in a buoyant mood after they came from a goal down to win their fourth consecutive game in all competitions last weekend.

Marie-Antoinette Katoto got PSG off to a perfect start, but Lyon went into half time with a lead thanks to a Wendie Renard spot kick and a Catarina Macario effort.

Macario grabbed another goal after the break and though Paulina Dudek dispatched her spot kick to halve the deficit, Lyon held firm to hold the narrow advantage ahead of Saturday's second leg.

Paris Saint-Germain Women Women's Champions League form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L

Paris Saint-Germain Women form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L

Lyon Women Women's Champions League form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W

Lyon Women form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Lyon Women's Catarina Macario celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on March 22, 2022© Reuters

Kheira Hamraoui missed the first leg following a dressing room bust-up, and PSG have indicated that they will not pick the midfielder for the foreseeable future.

Laurina Fazer replaced Hamrauoi in the starting lineup for last Sunday's encounter, and the 18-year-old is once again expected to lineup in a midfield three alongside Grace Geyoro and Sara Dabritz.

In fact, Olle-Nicolle could name an unchanged lineup for the second leg, with Katoto continuing in the forward line after scoring three goals in her last two matches.

As for Lyon, they are expected to still be without the services of Dzsenifer Marozsan and Janice Cayman, who are both struggling with injury issues.

Damaris Egurrola is available after serving a one-match suspension, and the Dutch international could replace Lindsey Horan in the starting lineup.

Macario will be pivotal to Lyon on Saturday, as the United States international has scored 11 goals in her last eight games for club and country.

Paris Saint-Germain Women possible starting lineup:
Votikova; Lawrence, Ilestedt, Dudek, Karchaoui; Fazer, Geyoro, Dabritz; Diani, Baltimore, Katoto

Lyon Women possible starting lineup:
Endler; Carpenter, Buchanan, Renard, Bacha; Henry, Egurrola, Macario; Cascarino, Malard, Hegerberg


SM words green background

We say: Paris Saint-Germain Women 2-2 Lyon Women

The three competitive meetings between the French giants have yielded 15 goals, and we expect Saturday's second leg to be another entertaining encounter, but we think the European pedigree of Lyon will help them hold their hosts to a draw, which would secure their place in the Champions League final.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain Women win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Lyon Women had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.12%) and 1-0 (5.03%). The likeliest Lyon Women win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.


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