MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 02:11:38| >> :120:5402:5402:
Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 22, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano

Real Madrid
1 - 3
Barcelona

Carmona (8')
Carmona (36'), Abilleira (69'), Gonzalez (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Putellas (53' pen., 90+4'), Pina (81')
Bonmati (31'), Ouahabi (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Women's Champions League clash between Real Madrid Femenino and Barcelona Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Barcelona 5-2 Real Madrid
Wednesday, March 30 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: Barcelona 1-3 Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 6pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Real Madrid Femenino 0-3 Barcelona Women

Although Real Madrid have home advantage on their side, we think that they will struggle to compete with a Barcelona team that have proven to be a level above all challengers, both domestically and in Europe, in the last couple of seasons. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Real Madrid Femenino had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Real Madrid Femenino win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid FemeninoDrawBarcelona Women
28.72%23.82%47.47%
Both teams to score 58.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.11%42.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.71%65.29%
Real Madrid Femenino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01%27.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.38%63.62%
Barcelona Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75%18.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.72%49.28%
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid Femenino 28.72%
    Barcelona Women 47.47%
    Draw 23.81%
Real Madrid FemeninoDrawBarcelona Women
2-1 @ 7.04%
1-0 @ 6.5%
2-0 @ 4.14%
3-1 @ 2.99%
3-2 @ 2.54%
3-0 @ 1.76%
4-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 28.72%
1-1 @ 11.06%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 9.41%
0-1 @ 8.69%
0-2 @ 7.39%
1-3 @ 5.34%
0-3 @ 4.19%
2-3 @ 3.4%
1-4 @ 2.27%
0-4 @ 1.78%
2-4 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 47.47%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Barcelona

Real Madrid Femenino
40.0%
Draw
10.0%
Barcelona Women
50.0%
10
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