Real Madrid1 - 3Barcelona
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, March 30 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
We said: Real Madrid Femenino 0-3 Barcelona Women
Although Real Madrid have home advantage on their side, we think that they will struggle to compete with a Barcelona team that have proven to be a level above all challengers, both domestically and in Europe, in the last couple of seasons. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Real Madrid Femenino had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Real Madrid Femenino win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid Femenino | Draw | Barcelona Women |
| 28.72% | 23.82% | 47.47% |
| Both teams to score 58.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.11% | 42.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.71% | 65.29% |
| Real Madrid Femenino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% | 27.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.38% | 63.62% |
| Barcelona Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.75% | 18.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.72% | 49.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid Femenino | Draw | Barcelona Women |
| 2-1 @ 7.04% 1-0 @ 6.5% 2-0 @ 4.14% 3-1 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 2.54% 3-0 @ 1.76% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.72% | 1-1 @ 11.06% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 9.41% 0-1 @ 8.69% 0-2 @ 7.39% 1-3 @ 5.34% 0-3 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 3.4% 1-4 @ 2.27% 0-4 @ 1.78% 2-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.56% Total : 47.47% |
