After the two teams played out a draw in Italy, we are expecting another closely-fought contest on Thursday, but we think that Wolfsburg will make full use of the home advantage to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg Women win with a probability of 59.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Roma Women had a probability of 17.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Roma Women win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg Women would win this match.

Result
Wolfsburg Women	Draw	Roma Women
59.93% ( 0.08)	22.13% ( -0.03)	17.94% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 50.88% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.97% (

0.02)

47.03% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.73% (

0.02)

69.27% (

-0.02)

Wolfsburg Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.72% (

0.03)

15.28% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.01% (

0.06)

43.99% (

-0.06)

Roma Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.06% (

-0.05)

39.94% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.4% (

-0.05)

76.59% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg Women 59.92%

Roma Women 17.94%

Draw 22.13%

Wolfsburg Women	Draw	Roma Women
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 59.92%	1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.13%	0-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.94%