Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City Women win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.