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Women's Super League | Gameweek 5
Oct 22, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Trevor Brown Memorial Ground

Aston Villa
0 - 1
Everton Ladies


Corsie (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Graham (57')
Bjorn (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and Everton Ladies, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-2 West Ham
Saturday, October 15 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

Everton Ladies

All competitions
Last Game: Everton Ladies 1-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, October 16 at 1pm in Women's Super League

We said: Aston Villa Women 2-2 Everton Ladies

 Although Everton have played one more league game than their opponents, both sides are level on six points, and we think that two closely matched teams will have to settle for a point apiece on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Ladies win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton Ladies win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Everton Ladies in this match.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawEverton Ladies
30.4% (0.482 0.48) 25.26% (-0.271 -0.27) 44.34% (-0.20699999999999 -0.21)
Both teams to score 55.02% (1.151 1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (1.382 1.38)48.41% (-1.379 -1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.45% (1.251 1.25)70.54% (-1.246 -1.25)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.38% (1.039 1.04)29.62% (-1.036 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.34% (1.243 1.24)65.66% (-1.239 -1.24)
Everton Ladies Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.18% (0.491 0.49)21.82% (-0.487 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.96% (0.74 0.74)55.04% (-0.737 -0.74)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 30.4%
    Everton Ladies 44.34%
    Draw 25.26%
Aston Villa WomenDrawEverton Ladies
1-0 @ 7.86% (-0.221 -0.22)
2-1 @ 7.28% (0.112 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.78% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.128 0.13)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 30.4%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.375 -0.38)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.165 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 9.84% (-0.412 -0.41)
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.49% (-0.207 -0.21)
1-3 @ 4.62% (0.074 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.8% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.123 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.76% (0.053 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 44.34%

Head to Head
Mar 2, 2022 7pm
Aston Villa
0-1
Everton Ladies

Mayling (90+4')
Galli (80')
Graham (11'), Dali (90+4')
Feb 13, 2022 1pm
Everton Ladies
0-2
Aston Villa
Gielnik (17'), Petzelberger (23')
Littlejohn (81')
Apr 4, 2021 1pm
Everton Ladies
3-1
Aston Villa
Graham (36'), Christiansen (64' pen.), Magill (78')
Arthur (90+4')
Hutton (45'), Hanssen (67'), Ale (75'), Arthur (83')
Oct 3, 2020 12.30pm
Aston Villa
0-6
Everton Ladies
Raso (21', 24'), Emslie (27', 53'), Gauvin (40'), Boye-Hlorkah (51')
rhs 2.0
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