MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:19:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Women's Super League | Gameweek 16
Mar 17, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium

Brighton Women
1 - 4
Man City Women

Lee (90+1')
Carabali (65'), Lucy McEwan (85'), Symonds (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hemp (27'), Fowler (40'), Shaw (69'), Coombs (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion Women and Manchester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Women 3-7 Brighton Women
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 2-1 Everton Ladies
Saturday, March 2 at 12pm in Women's Super League

We said: Brighton & Hove Albion Women 0-2 Manchester City Women

Brighton have struggled defensively in the WSL this season, and we think that they may struggle to contain a Man City side that is currently the league's second-highest scorers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 86.07%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 4.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.42%) and 0-4 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.51%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 1-0 (1.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion WomenDrawManchester City Women
4.36% (-0.259 -0.26) 9.57% (-0.3701 -0.37) 86.07% (0.628 0.63)
Both teams to score 44.3% (-0.371 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.62% (0.64 0.64)27.38% (-0.641 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.03% (0.801 0.8)47.97% (-0.802 -0.8)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.29% (-0.493 -0.49)53.72% (0.493 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.9% (-0.309 -0.31)87.1% (0.309 0.31)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.71% (0.211 0.21)4.29% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.19% (0.65899999999999 0.66)17.81% (-0.66 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 4.36%
    Manchester City Women 86.06%
    Draw 9.57%
Brighton & Hove Albion WomenDrawManchester City Women
1-0 @ 1.43% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-1 @ 1.4% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 4.36%
1-1 @ 4.51% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-0 @ 2.31% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-2 @ 2.21% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 9.57%
0-3 @ 11.99% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 11.42% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-4 @ 9.44% (0.211 0.21)
1-3 @ 7.45% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.26% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-5 @ 5.94% (0.221 0.22)
1-4 @ 5.87% (0.047 0.05)
1-5 @ 3.69% (0.085 0.09)
0-6 @ 3.12% (0.162 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-6 @ 1.94% (0.074 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-7 @ 1.4% (0.093 0.09)
2-5 @ 1.15% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 86.06%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 1pm
Mar 12, 2023 2pm
Dec 4, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 9
Man City Women
3-1
Brighton Women
Sarri (11' og.), Blakstad (19'), Coombs (26')
Lee (90+3')
Apr 30, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 21
Man City Women
7-2
Brighton Women
Shaw (3', 12', 57', 61'), Weir (16'), Greenwood (68'), Hemp (69')
Kaagman (21' pen.), Zigiotti-Olme (45')
Simpkins (90+2')
Jan 9, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 11
Brighton Women
0-6
Man City Women

Carter (29'), Whelan (58')
Williams (48' og.), Hemp (50'), Stanway (51'), Coombs (55'), Raso (73'), Losada (76')
rhs 2.0
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