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Women's Super League | Gameweek 9
Dec 4, 2022 at 2pm UK
Academy Stadium

Man City Women
3 - 1
Brighton Women

Sarri (11' og.), Blakstad (19'), Coombs (26')
Ouahabi (52'), Morgan (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Lee (90+3')
Sarri (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester City Women and Brighton & Hove Albion Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton Ladies 1-2 Man City Women
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton Women 3-3 Liverpool Women
Sunday, November 20 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Manchester City Women 3-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Women

Brighton have performed well in their last three games, but we think that their unbeaten run will come to an end against an in-form Manchester City side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 95.02%. A draw had a probability of 3.9% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 1.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.63%) and 5-0 (10.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.86%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 0-1 (0.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Manchester City Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City Women.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
95.02% (-0.121 -0.12) 3.94% (0.131 0.13) 1.04% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Both teams to score 29.65% (-1.557 -1.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
80.84% (-1.298 -1.3)19.16% (1.301 1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
63.11% (-1.907 -1.91)36.89% (1.907 1.91)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
98.14% (-0.154 -0.15)1.86% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
90.74% (-0.625 -0.63)9.26% (0.625 0.63)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
30.21% (-1.537 -1.54)69.79% (1.537 1.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
5.11% (-0.57 -0.57)94.89% (0.57100000000001 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 95.02%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 1.04%
    Draw 3.94%
Manchester City WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
3-0 @ 13.68% (0.6 0.6)
4-0 @ 13.63% (0.31 0.31)
5-0 @ 10.87% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.29% (0.654 0.65)
6-0 @ 7.22% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-0 @ 5.17% (0.434 0.43)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 4.91% (-0.185 -0.19)
7-0 @ 4.11% (-0.176 -0.18)
5-1 @ 3.91% (-0.237 -0.24)
2-1 @ 3.7% (0.023 0.02)
6-1 @ 2.6% (-0.218 -0.22)
8-0 @ 2.05% (-0.135 -0.14)
7-1 @ 1.48% (-0.158 -0.16)
9-0 @ 0.91% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 5.57%
Total : 95.02%
1-1 @ 1.86% (0.051 0.05)
0-0 @ 1.3% (0.135 0.14)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 3.94%
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 1.04%

How you voted: Man City Women vs Brighton Women

Manchester City Women
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Brighton & Hove Albion Women
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 11.30am
Man City Women
7-2
Brighton Women
Shaw (3', 12', 57', 61'), Weir (16'), Greenwood (68'), Hemp (69')
Kaagman (21' pen.), Zigiotti-Olme (45')
Simpkins (90+2'), Simpkins (90+2')
Jan 9, 2022 12pm
Brighton Women
0-6
Man City Women

Carter (29'), Whelan (58')
Williams (48' og.), Hemp (50'), Stanway (51'), Coombs (55'), Raso (73'), Losada (76')
Jan 24, 2021 2pm
Brighton Women
1-7
Man City Women
Jarrett (69')
Weir (12', 16'), Houghton (41', 61'), White (58'), Kelly (73'), Beckie (77')
Sep 13, 2020 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bengals
34-35
Ravens
Tables header RHS


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